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Գլխավոր էջ Արխիվ Մեր մասին Բաժանորդագրություն Գովազդ Կոնտակտներ
     
#5-6 (213-214) / -Հունվար 2018
 
Hrachya GRIGORYAN
ASSESSMENT OF THE IMPACT OF THE MAIN FACTORS CONDITIONING THE RISKS OF THE AGRICULTURE OF THE RA

Key words: agriculture, risks, factors, impact assessment, regression analysis, model, variable.
In the article the author has discussed the factors conditioning the risks in the agricultural sector of the RA that are mainly conditioned by the climatic state mostly referring to the hail, frost and water scarcity. The assessment of the factors’ impact has been based on the following baseline data: the number of the hail cases, the average temperature, the amount of the rainfall, their bias from the norm and the number of the days of the frost (the total sum of the observations). The value of the loss and the value of the gross product of the crop have been accepted as a result feature. Using a computer program, a regression analysis has been conducted to access the cooperative impact of a number of factors affecting the agricultural losses and the gross product (based on the data of the years 2005 – 2017). The created three regression equations show the quantitative impact of the considered factors on the caused loss and the gross product of the crop. In the frameworks of the article, through constructing graphical images, the direction of the impact (nature) on the registered losses and on the gross product of the crop have been presented. The conducted analysis can be beneficial in making policies in the field of alleviating the risks in the agriculture.

ASSESSMENT OF THE IMPACT OF THE MAIN FACTORS CONDITIONING THE RISKS OF THE AGRICULTURE OF THE RA  Վճարել 369 ՀՀ դրամ եւ ներբեռնել հոդվածը “PDF” ֆորմատով
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